An Evaluation Method for Modelling a Disciplinary Development Stage

Abstract

In developing science and technology and working out scientific and technological policy and strategy, it is essential for a country’s or area’s development to elucidate the developing features of disciplines, estimate the scientific and technical effects and predict the future. Furthermore, it is significant in selecting research topics for a particular field of specialisation. A method for modelling a disciplinary development stage and a mathematical model representing it to elucidate a discipline’s developing features is suggested. Moreover, the theory of a product and technology life cycle is extended to one of a disciplinary development stage. Modelling a disciplinary development stage evaluation, which we suggest in this article, can help analyse the developing features of a discipline.